London, August 29, 2025 – Argius Global (www.argius.com),, a leading investment advisory and asset management firm based in the Cayman Islands, has released its latest market outlook, forecasting that gold prices could exceed $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026. The firm attributes this potential surge to a combination of record central bank purchases, increased private wealth allocations, and ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainty.
Gold has already shown remarkable growth in 2025, increasing 31% year-to-date and peaking at $3,520 per ounce in July. At current levels, the asset class has added over $1.1 trillion in market value globally since January, reinforcing its reputation as a reliable store of value amid inflationary pressures and uncertain policies.
“This is not a short-term rally; it is a structural revaluation of gold,” said John Thompson, Investment Strategist at Argius Global. “Central banks are buying at the fastest pace in modern history, and sophisticated private investors are following suit. We see gold not just as a hedge, but as a strategic cornerstone allocation for preserving wealth in an era of monetary debasement and systemic risk.”
Key Insights from Argius Global’s 2025/26 Outlook:
- Price Trajectory: Gold is expected to average $3,720 per ounce in Q4 2025, with a base-case scenario of surpassing $4,050 per ounce by Q2 2026. In the event of a high-stress macro environment (deep recession or geopolitical escalation), prices could rise to $4,250 per ounce.
- Central Bank Demand: Central bank gold purchases are projected to reach 950 tonnes in 2025, equivalent to nearly $115 billion at current market prices. This marks the sixth consecutive year of net accumulation, with the highest pace since records began.
- Private Wealth & ETFs: Combined global holdings in bars, coins, ETFs, and futures now exceed 50,000 tonnes, with a market value of $6.1 trillion. ETFs alone have added 325 tonnes year-to-date, reversing the outflows seen in 2022–2023.
- Macro Drivers: Factors such as trade realignments, a weakening U.S. dollar (down 12% year-to-date), and declining real yields are all reinforcing gold’s role as a safe-haven and long-term debasement hedge.
Why Gold is Resonating with Private Clients:
“Our private clients increasingly see gold as insurance against systemic risk and as an anchor for intergenerational wealth,” said Mark Smith, Head of Commodities Strategy at Argius Global. “In an environment where fiat currencies are under strain, gold offers something rare: liquidity, durability, and the confidence of millennia of value preservation.”
For High Net-Worth Individual (HNWI) investors, gold provides:
- Wealth Preservation: Protection against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical uncertainty.
- Diversification: Low correlation with equities and bonds, helping smooth portfolio performance.
- Strategic Alignment: Direct participation in the same secular accumulation trend driving sovereign wealth funds and central banks.
About Argius Global:
Argius Global is a premier investment advisory and asset management group headquartered in the Cayman Islands, with a prominent trading floor in London. The firm specializes in delivering tailored strategies for high-net-worth individuals, family offices, and institutional investors, with expertise in alternative assets, commodities, and global capital markets.
For more insights and access to Argius Global’s latest research, visit https://www.argius.com
Investor Relations:
Argius Global Communications
Email: info@argius.com
London Tel: +44 2073774212
Cayman Islands Tel: +1 345 8489860
